tv The Day - News in Review Deutsche Welle November 8, 2017 3:02am-3:30am CET
more users. it was one year ago when america first came in first at the ballot box. i've just received a call from secretary clinton the are donald trump became u.s. president beating hillary clinton and beating the poles the candidate becoming commander in chief but his message did not move. this american carnage stops right here and stops right now. tonight after the first year with a president trump are there lessons learned is there a future to be feared and what about. the russians i'm bringing
off in berlin this is the day. i donald john from who thought of me swear by donald trump do solemnly swear that obamacare is a disaster it's dead. they will be met with fire and fury. like the world has never seen. you solemnly swear to tell the truth the whole truth and nothing but the truth so help you god no collision no obstruction. the truth. that tomorrow they will say donald trump brand sing raves at the press i'm not writing and i think i'm just telling you in a dishonest people but i could not believe the media protests attributable to how the media is just as i don't know come on ok. also
coming up tonight is lebanon about to become the battlefield in a war between saudi arabia and iran today the lebanese foreign minister warned that there will be no winners not on it at all in the can or has said on the and so on but it is she i hate to say that we are all loses in the current events. that we will all cooperate in order to get out of this state that we're in now the lebanese people are worried about tomorrow yes a lot of that. over we begin the day one year into the air of trump and a check up for the rest of the world donald trump was elected the forty fifth president of the united states on november eighth of last year he unlike hillary clinton did not win the popular vote but he did win the electoral college and with that the keys to the white house of since that initial shock the world has
witnessed one unprecedented moment after another trump says that by putting america first he is doing what past presidents have failed to do it's what his voter base likes to hear well tonight we'll see if that equation really computes and what about the rest of the world does make america great again translate into make america lonely from now on we'll discuss that and more in just a moment's but go back to a year ago with me right now the first tuesday after the first monday in november that's election day in the u.s. as the ballot counting progressed many around the world present company included realize that the most unexpected of outcomes was indeed coming true. so you know it's the world is holding its breath as americans elect and the president driving this point and i'm with a hillary clinton's campaign party in new york where history could have trump has
already changed the rules of politics but will it be enough to make him her mantra in chief trump and clinton are the most unpopular candidates ever the current campaign because she's the optimistic and i think for good reasons i did not initially favor a trial but this is my choice and i have faith that my republican party nack and next forty nine percent for clinton this could still go either way and when he was really pushed on the truth for example during the debates and there's about a year well if it bothered me i wouldn't surprise me there's going to i mean this has been you know the most lying candidate that many personalities and also him as well also a lot of black mike tyson when you name them mike tyson hillary clinton actually lied to the f.b.i. a lot while the polls had been good enough to classify the definite red the definite blue all of those are right but when it comes to the toss ups one can see
there was a systematic overestimation of hillary clinton has hit on one trend that does point to why there is this disconnect which is the kind of establishment non establishment or if you will anti establishment sentiment in wisconsin you know hampshire new hampshire attending red. so she's not going to win this issue and there's been a large shift towards the republican vote in the whitest of counties in the united states who you're going to complain to nobody nobody cares nobody wants to hear and i think that reflects something that we've heard a lot also in the campaign trail are we looking at the beginning of what will be a two term penance presidency. joining me at the big table tonight are two people who were with us on that eventful night last year richard walker to my right here head of news here at g.w.
he was our washington correspondent at the time and boris foreman is a us policy politics analyst from bard college here in early or is was with us through what all of the primaries all of the party conventions he's the author of a new book the crisis of democracy which fits really well with what we're talking about tonight both of you jim it's good to have you on the show richard take us back to that evening in new york full disclosure most of us expected hillary clinton to win the yeah that's right and i mean i've actually going through the polls through the course of twenty sixteen just to look how the polling went because i just want to kind of get back into you know what we were looking at on that night and no wonder we thought hillary clinton was going to win because for the entire course of the year she led in the polls apart from really just a few days during the course of the entirety of twenty sixteen on the night before election night she led by three percentage points and of course actually on
election night she won by two percentage points as you just mentioned the popular vote he won the popular vote but of course with the vagaries of the u.s. electoral system she still lost the election so kind of no wonder people didn't expect her to win. and that was the mood on election night at the hilton midtown this hotel a temporary position was just outside of what we would keep going back in to see what the mood was like in the beginning of the night all of people filing into that posse they were totally dejected they thought you know this is going to be a funeral that we're going to and will go home tonight will be a president clinton and then there was one point in the evening where we went back in and they were running around with their smartphones and they had the new york times app on it which was projecting eighty percent chance of a trump victory and they were saying to me what possesses me the liberal paint go left his new york times says eighty percent from victory we've won. and. you know we say it's been one year since the trump shock is the world still in a state of shock well it's time to wake up now i think i mean we've seen
a couple of elections since we've also remember to the week or so after we went through the. initial trauma of that bret's it was quite similar people went to bed woke up the next morning realized the election went to the totally different direction part of the explanation of course is that yes there might have been some kind of a surge on the right with white working class people that's something we identified also on that night that something we saw also in. another part of the explanations of course of many many people stayed home and i think that's an important thing to realize you know as a state how young right or stayed home those who supported sanders in the in the primaries minority voters stayed home and yet as you said i mean the popular vote went to went to clip but we should remind ourselves that it's not a sudden rematch of the zation that's epidemic and you know sort of spreading across the world but there are some structural issues at stake which i think it's
important to point out richard you were in the u.s. during the campaign you know during all these events that led up to the election and kind of if you would compare the u.s. would after a year of the era of trump with the way it was during the campaign the media has he lived up to that title of being a great divider. well i mean trump's strategy was to divide and to be aggressive all along from the moment in twenty fifteen when he famously came down the escalator in trump tower he gave this long rambling speech that all of us was kind of a dog thinking is this serious it was highly aggressive highly divisive and obviously that actually through the course of the primaries that worked you know because you had a very fragmented republican field and that got him the nomination then of course the question was what can he actually win a general election on that well he won forty six percent and it was enough with the electoral college to get him in but i think what's interesting again looking at the
numbers at the moment he won with forty six percent of the vote now his approval rating is under thirty nine percent you know so he's lost seven percent is the lowest in history for its historically low levels so this aggressive divisive strategy which works in campaigning. it may not really be working in government because boris has hundreds of theories about why that might be the case but i think up there has to be that is one thing to be aggressive and full of bombast but if your supporters don't actually see you achieving things in congress and with a favorable republican congress then they might be thinking well what what was the point of all of that that's a good point i mean you're going to talk the talk you have to walk the walk what about trump in the world wars is he dividing the world or it's does he have that affect the way he does with the u.s. it might be too early to tell i mean if you look at the e.u. it seems like he's taking taking very different positions depending on who is
talking to divide and conquer does seem to be his strategy of choice some people have been interpreted as a business strategy that he's also using that he was using when he played stephen bennett on one side and reince priebus on the other side sure they could you know fight it out amongst themselves and it's true we've seen it with his speech in nato we've seen the different places if that's actually going to be successful over the long run is something that remains to be seen i want us to remember the first meeting that trump had with the german chancellor angela merkel and you remember it made headlines because she reportedly refused to shake her hand in the oval office take a look. as far as. wiretapping i guess by you know this past administration at least we have something in common perhaps. i mean that look of course was prices
there from the german chancellor you know what are you talking about. that i would pick up again there on this great divider has the world been put into two camps you've got the medical mccrone western liberal democracy here and then you've got maybe the strong arm leaders of the world and i would say that strong may be putin may be due territory in the philippines do we have these two camps emerging when we talk about that i mean is that something that you see. if you put it that way i do but i think i mean the move of trumps to the outside world is something something quite surprising during the campaign during the primaries he didn't talk about exterior affairs at all in the first half of the of his first year he talked about infrastructure just a little bit didn't really go into any detail and it sort of dropped off the table talked about some social policies inside the u.s.
some domestic policies and it seems like when he was cornered when obamacare failed and what the repeal of obamacare failed and other domestic policies failed that he was turning ports the exterior and realizing that he could get statements like appearance from from. speaking to other presidents and chancellors and it looks like he's enjoying that position and it seems like a way out of his domestic product and i have to ask you know richard before we run out of time. and are we looking at another watergate in the making now with the special counsel mr muller and the indictments that we've seen we hear there are more indictments coming when i see it we've seen the first indictments coming out but you know they've been partly at lower level people in the shape of poll model fought. for my campaign manager relating to things that happened before he was involved in the campaign i mean the question is going to be you know does this
special prosecutor have anything that's going to really aim at trump himself for instance the firing of james james comey we saw james comey in the clips. is that something that is going to be turned into a charge of attempted obstruction of justice but even if it does get to that kind of level the politics are just as important as the legal masses because you know in order to impeach a president you need a very strong body in congress over the current. cup of congress republican controlled is not looking like that now the midterm elections next year that's right if if massively self is that and that could change the picture that bit but even then you need a two thirds majority in the senate to have a successful impeachment and even that is looking quite unlikely even if it's a massive landslide for the democrats may well what will talk again i'm sure we'll talk before another year passes but it will be interesting to see what we are
talking about this time next year richard walker or foreman both of you gentlemen thank you very much. when the war torn syria has said that it is ready to sign up to the paris climate accord the leaving you guessed it the united states as the only un member not to do so the decision comes as experts and activists meet to bolster the twenty fifteen agreement at the un climate conference in the german city of vonne a surprise move by syria comes after nicaragua also signaled its intention to join the pact to cut carbon emissions here's what the syrian representative had to say today at the conference. i'd like to assure you that studio supports implementation of the paris accords and also the principles of justice and joint responsibilities assigned to each signatory. i'm joined now by david bosco he is international climate director with world resources institute at the talks in bonn is good to have you on the show syria we here will join the paris climate agreement that
leaves the u.s. as the only u.n. member that has not promised to do so is that what everyone is talking about at the conference in bonn. well it's certainly one of the things that is on many delegates minds here just to clarify the u.s. is party to the agreement right now but as i think your viewers know president trump announced very clearly in june that he intends for the united states to withdraw so that would leave the u.s. on the outside and really quite isolated and frankly the u.s. is already quite isolated we saw at the g. seven talks several months ago a group of six countries g six if you will say that they're committed to the paris agreement and then later you had the nineteen at the g. twenty say that they're quite committed to paris now you have one hundred ninety six parties saying that they are committed to paris and president trump once again alone not expressing his commitment the u.s.
delegation there in boston we hear is telling coal and oil as part of the answer for a world in need of energy in the future anyone there listening the bat. well i think what we need to listen to is what's happening around the world on those issues and what we see is a tremendous surge toward renewable energy and toward a clean approach to to climate change in addition to all of the countries that i mentioned we also have literally hundreds of cities and and states and set national governments as well as businesses making clear their commitment to the pair's agreement and their commitment to acting and much of that has to do with economic realities that we see the price of renewable energy dropping rapidly we see electrical electric vehicles becoming increasingly popular many governments now moving forward with policies india for example. beginning to put in place
a policy for twenty thirty to have on new vehicles electric vehicles that's the kind of wave that i think is very much permeating not only the economy out there but also frankly the discussions here and you know climate right david wasco international climate director with world resources institute david we appreciate your insights tonight on the day thank you very much well scientists say alaska's ice fields are melting rapidly proof of global warming but pushback from local business leaders have shown that even in the face of facts and evidence climate skeptics wield power in the u.s. . alaska's juneau ice field spans nearly four thousand square kilometers of glacial wilderness. it's alan gordon's favorite place on earth . he heads here whenever he can. spectacular views await those who scale to the top
but the ice is vanishing over time. and when i first came out here a long time ago. the isis price a couple hundred feet higher and it was just flat across i could ski to or crossed out here. to get here but now i have to ice climb to get out here and it's completely changed. allen says each trip is different because of how rapidly the ice cover is changing. scientist aaron hood is also watching the changes the two encounter each other often and talk about the weather pathways and what's happening to the ice. aarons measurements indicate the height of the ice is dropping by about ten meters per year meanwhile the white house is reducing funding for climate research aaron blames us president trump for making his
research more difficult and for sowing doubt among americans about the existence of climate change they're convinced that donald trump can come in and cut back on regulations cut back on climate change research and that's going to somehow stimulate the economy and you know that's very convincing to people that are you know need jobs and need to support their families. but the facts speak for themselves the mendenhall glacier alone receded by five hundred fifty meters from two thousand and seven to two thousand and fifteen there appears to be a lack of political will to reverse the trend. elsewhere in alaska people are banking on a new oil and gas boom under president obama offshore drilling was outlawed in large areas of the arctic that's now changing under trump. republican mead treadwell was a politician in alaska today he advises big companies he sees
a golden age ahead for the state president trump has kept his promises to alaska to reverse obama's policy on energy to push exports to push infrastructure to push national security to reduce regulation we're seeing all those things happen. that way of thinking puzzles alan gordon he wants to see fewer people and politicians turn a blind eye to the environment. these are considered a declaration of war against the kingdom of saudi arabia from lebanon and hezbollah so the lebanese government will be treated as a government which is declared war and. fighting words there from saudi arabia's gulf affairs minister the saudis accusing lebanon of declaring war against them it is the iran backed hezbollah that saudi arabia means here of this accusation marks
a dramatic escalation of the conflict between the saudis and the iranians yemen is the most destructive battlefronts is lebanon about to become the next battlefield in well call it what it is a proxy war in the studio with me here to talk about that is daniel here like he's editor in chief of the magazine zenith which focuses on well affairs in the middle east good to have you back on the show i may say this for our viewers just a couple days ago you predicted that we were going to have exactly the situation the saudis are saying that war has been declared on them by lebanon. yes it's obvious and it's very closely connected to what's happening inside saudi arabia two days ago we talked about the purge of the crown prince and the saudi government going after some very prominent figures of the royal house of saud many princes it was like a night of the long knives were arrested where accused of corruption and you could
ask yourself does saudi arabia they give the current saudi crown prince who is going to be the next king and i believe a couple of months does he need this domestic situation in order to justify his action abroad or does he probably need an aggressive scenario and a war scenario broad in order to rally his supporters in the country and to justify his position and his measures inside saudi arabia i think these two strategies are not mutually exclusive and i think they're both at the moment working very well apparently what role does the united states play here we know that trump. is a big supporter of the saudis and we know that the americans are selling a lot of weapons that's not the only reason i think for the trumpet ministration they said that very clearly that they want to roll back iraq they want to contain a rollback iran so what does that exactly mean you either go after iran directly or you go after its proxies its very efficient proxies proxies of the hated by saudi arabia and its allies in the middle east so now. prime minister saad hariri of
lebanon stepped down and he announced his resignation out of saudi arabia was you know it's not a real good idea and i think he did this because the saudis told him to do so and also because the saudis said that a war in lebanon other one might be happening and that it's not a good idea that he is part of a government which would then have to defy such an operation the question here is what are the americans up to and what are the israelis up to because i can hardly believe that the saudis are going to launch air force strikes or missile strikes against against lebanon themselves i think they will try to find an opportunity. there and who have their own settlements and they have to reckon with the hezbollah for different reasons but that could do that very well in alliance with saudi arabia we've got about thirty seconds left i'm going to ask you is the trunk rush investigation in the united states do you think that it's a factor here in what we're seeing right now between the saudis the iranians and lebanon. when the war against the islamic state is over it's going to turn against
another opponent on the other side of the of the front and i think the term administration has it has made it very clear that they are considering military means against hezbollah and i think of the situation the save the knot gets tighter around trump and his his affiliates in the white house that it might be very tempting to show that he's strong and that he has a strong force he was direct and that he could take action i wouldn't call it distraction but i think it will be an opportune moment when you get a lock as always we appreciate you coming in to giving us your insights. a dark future possibly i wish bad weather to lebanon at the moment so that the airplanes before we have difficulties to fly yeah you know thank you. the day is nearly done but as always the conversation continues online you'll find us on twitter either at news or you can write directly to me don't forget to use the hash tag today and remember no matter what happens between now and then tomorrow is another day we'll
a dynamic all round. the mundo an amazon. from gigantic dam projects back to belmonte. if the river dies. and the way of life they've had for many generations for. brazil in the shadow of the. close up in forty five minutes on. united against climate change. big challenges for the twenty third u.n. climate conference in bonn. how were nations working to meet their paris agreement targets cop twenty three this weekend next on doubling news.
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