tv Quadriga - Coalition Talks Collapse Disaster for Germany Deutsche Welle November 21, 2017 1:30am-2:01am CET
attorney our web special the refugee journeys of life in germany and the prospects for those returning home. join the discussion on t w dot com and on facebook. prospects for returning news d.-w. maybe for mine. every journey begins with the first step and every language with the first word that has been. rico is in germany to learn german why not learn a simple online on your mobile and free shop for d w z e learning course you can speak german made easy. hello and a very warm welcome indeed to a special edition of quadriga coming to you from the heart of berlin a germany is today facing an unprecedented crisis after talks on forming
a new coalition government following september's election broke down it was one of the smaller parties in the four way negotiations business the business friendly three democrats under their leader christiane clinton that pulled out saying there was no shared vision and not enough trust to form a new government at all leaves chancellor angela merkel's future hanging in the balance she was aiming to begin a full term in office now though all the talk is of possible fresh elections and in the meantime a long period of damaging uncertainty for germany and europe so our question here on our quadriga special show is coalition talks collapse disaster for germany and to discuss that question i'm joined here in the studio by three excellent guests beginning with venice on a journalist and author and one of the outstanding commentators on german politics and over four decades old. also with this is alan posner welcome back alan. he's
a commentator for devos newspaper and a very warm welcome to to all rika how man from another berlin based day leave attempts for talks titled thank you both for being here on this or suspicious or an auspicious day i'm not quite sure that i was on a plane is in a state of shock according to one newspaper headline this morning do you share that assessment yes or no certainly the political deep political class in this is in a shock situation but germany is not in a crisis germany as such is doing very well economically not politically at the moment but overall germany is not in a crisis situation we face we are facing a domestic political crisis for sure one that we have not had in our history and the word password right now is uncertainty so to go home and you would not immediately has found i said we're not in a crisis no sir no sign of crisis on the rise and it's all well no because i'm
going to makeover chances than charge and whatever how she lets my forgiveness is remain the chancel it's only the question hala through germany by we have this experiment of a minority government which which would be new for germany but i think it would work well by the we have new elections but then again i think america will gain in votes and will be stronger than the full so i'm i just agree that we are not in a crisis. this is a surprise is a good start you know most german commentators this past week have been asked the question will will the talks be broken off is any stage leading to fresh elections or whatever the next an hour is going to be we're going to have to talk about that they've all said no no it's not going to happen and then you guys are sitting here and saying it's the most normal thing in the world we didn't say that ok you just know it is not normal but you know just as you said in the in this film at the beginning the problem of the. liberals they are
a very small party and indeed they are not fit to rule because they didn't have enough people who fit for government they didn't have a program that would have lurked and to they didn't have enough technical knowledge in order to be part of the government so what we don't have a general crisis what we have is a liberal party that's not fit to rule ok if you know the opportunity very shortly to talk the liberals down there's going to talk them up from the other side first of all your assessment where are we today well i want to come back toward you said about we sitting here saying on as what crisis there is of course a crisis of the chattering class i think this is the third time we've been wrong you were wrong about bricks that everyone must take never going to happen around about trump never going to happen and i personally was wrong about it because i'm on record saying of course jamaica is going to happen it's just a question of finding the right compromise formula and and the question is really why did the liberals pull out and it's not one second for you go into why the
liberals pulled out just explain for our viewers the use of the word because we have to explain the term to jamaica what's it all about ok well. that's where you should look to make a means a coalition of the christian democrats right wing conservatives the as you put it business friendly free democrats i'm not sure they're really business friendly because business is very we journalists have to tag them with something when i call them liberals the liberals three did ok and the green party i think they're all three of them fairly business friendly but different aspects of business but the so this is the so-called jamaica black green yellow as the flag jamaica and this these coalition this coalition is just for in the pot right before even starting before even we started to mention and we all thought it was going to happen these were exploratory talks before real talks for a government could be formed and then would then be given the approval of the parties involved at some stage in the very distant future. absolutely but these
talks went very much into detail and i think they had like two hundred sort of points to tick off and they you know they got they got incredibly far they had agreed basically on the question of immigration the greens were ready to accept a level upper limit to immigration where they had always said never never no no no the. the the party in the right the bavarian christian christian closer union. the conservatives they were ready on the other hand to have some kind of more green policy closing down coal power coal fired power stations which the greens want and you know and everyone really thought well the liberals would sort of be in the middle and they all sort of slipped through but they decided this is the interesting thing they decided last minute no we don't want to govern and i don't think it's not because they can it's anyone can you know if they don't want to and the reason is i think they want to go in the direction of
a populist national democratic party and take the voters of the far right a f d who got thirteen percent there also elections your journal in germany and the immigrant anti you and there's been sort of christian lin the leader of the of the pro-business free democrat party the broads has been making sounds like this for some weeks now and i think his idea is i don't have to govern now i've got four years i've got eight years' time i'm a young guy i can build my party into the. right wing formation to the right of i'm going to marco and the christian democrats and then i can join government with twenty percent of my belt in four years or an h. is that what he's aiming at. orica dog wallace agreed yes i agree but it doesn't you know it's both true they were not fit to govern or to rule and at the same time he has this idea of becoming
a national party i agree but this you completely but they would if they had gone and became part of the government they would have failed so that's part of the truth but the main question right now is the blame game was to blame you know and it was not a last minute decision. was a decision that lynn obviously took weeks ago and then you try to come out as the big hero last night but every bit i've everybody can see it didn't work that way he he wanted to get out and he wanted to make the statement i want to make this point and to use trying to force this government into you elections like it's just we're talking about chris and let's just let's have a quick look at what he had to say let's go to let's get an impression and go give our viewers an impression of the man himself because he has been widely viewed in german politics in recent times as a man of the future a charismatic political politician i was noting let's get
a flavor of the money myself. we were being forced to cast away our principles and everything that we've fought for over the years. we will not let down our voters by standing behind policies of which we're not at all convinced that. it's better not to govern than to govern badly so that you. could tell us a little bit more about the man himself he's viewed very often as one of the most capable politicians in german politics is this a long term strategy that he has been involved with here in gauged in well you see he was part of the liberal party full quite a long time since he was something like that and what's more even though even even much younger so from a very early age onwards he was full time petition for the liberal party and what he saw in two thousand and thirteen was how his liberal party was thrown out of
parliament because they had failed in government together with until america is dead and buried yet been buried in evil as the one who men is all on by himself as a one man show the research action of the liberals and of course he whole party is traumatised they hardly any of them really wants to rule again with anger in america because then they fear that they would again be thrown out of parliament do you believe that it is being in a coalition with i'm going to have time and time again so they are very afraid of lot but i'd like to say something about the strategy that. somehow sketched for the liberals i think it will not work if we have no new elections i think that it is true that the liberals could get some of the votes from the right but on the other hand many of their traditional voters who voted for them now again will leave for the christian democrats because for them it's no longer attractive to vote for the
liberals now that the liberals have shown that they are no longer. ready to govern un to be part of the. cabinet so they will go to america so in the in the end you know that's what i think. not have more votes but he will have a different basis more to the right and i don't think i agree totally with your characterization of is i mean he is an incredibly charismatic guy i know him i meet him and i think i've met him cover time in you know in smaller groups and so on and he's just so different from the run of the mill liberal you know. he's just really quite fascinating i need he's a kind of person you know fight for dinner and have a really good time with i wouldn't want him to run the country will he lose votes no because the people who voted for the most the the traditional free democrat votes are ones that were taxes that's basically everything else you don't care about as long as tax is go down and he's promising that and i don't know none of
the other parties want to lower taxes so they'll go with that and then on the other hand with his with his euro skeptic stance and with is skeptical sconce stance towards the greens and towards more green energy and so on he'll and towards immigration he will get a big slice of the of the far right vote so he could it could it could pay off for him it's all interesting stuff but the much more interesting question is where would be so you will go what will happen to them you know will the voters still support anglo-american and where will the city you end up. in fresh elections that is to crucial question today not where the f.t.p. is going. next let's just listen to what i'm going to medical have to say after the collapse of the coalition talks that we go under michael german chancellor. yeah i
feel we've seen and heard a lot during these dogs. were very different styles of negotiating. it's fighting you know sympathy the greens to some getting used to the free democrats were resolute. but we believe that we were on the right path to securing an agreement. i'm going to michael they're accused of being pale and passive in the negotiations not by everybody there were some conservatives who said she had played a very strong role as a behind the scenes moderator where does she stand now what is her future you know even the green party set that angle america has been a good moderator of these talks so it's only the liberals who are not pulled out of it who tried to blame and i'm going to makkah but it's not what happened it's just a blame game of blaming the about well what happened to i'm going to mecca i'm very optimistic because if there was a new elections because it's not yet sure but everyone counts on them i think very
many germans who vote for angle america and she will gain votes from almost all parties for example many. people who voted for the social democrats will vote for macca next time because the social democrats refuse to go into a big coalition and want to stay in the position but why should i vote for social democrats who want to stay in a position that makes no sense if i want to keep back in power the same something we disagree with me and alan i think that quite a few liberals will leave christian lindt not because it's true they all wanted to have tax reductions but how are you supposed to reduce the taxes when you end up position it just doesn't work so those those who are somehow rational voters for the liberal party will now say well it's better to vote for america who is in power and to strengthen her in some coalition whoever that will be instead of voting for linda so in the end the christian democrats will have more votes than they have now
the premise here is that there could very well be freshly. actions that is certainly a possible scenario at this point in time however the german part of the german president the federal president frank by the time i has come out we all know and said that the policies that this isn't a collapse of the talks this is a breakdown of talks that the policy should go back to each other get back around the table until they will have to see what key in the end will actually say because see here is the man who is in control of the process and he has to decide what will be next when it comes to fresh elections. and the american future and fully agree but for different reasons she will be there because there is no alternative a lot of people in germany that we didn't have before that this is the. type i know i know you said you know well how to let it get you know you know they just don't
think of these eleven of you live in this country folk a long long long time and you know domestic politics and then please do and server who else all you or you know i mean this is the i mean when i but this is the way that i think a lot of a lot of the johns should be saying a lot of young people and other people even in this country would very much like new faces in politics but what is the alternative nobody can answer this really and as long as we do not have this new phase then who will stay it's as simple as that is going to happen are they going to be fresh elections. well. today is the day of uncertainty we cannot predict. absolutely sure the democrats said today they didn't do it to confirm they will not go into
a grand coalition ok so that's off the table when they want you elections that's what they said today but what if they were to say tomorrow or in a week from now it would then have to push out martin shorts again as the candidate for the don't know if he just lost one election you know he's got to hurry too but but but but the so for democrats they do have other phases it could be under they are not with the opposition leader now it could be the mayor of book shows shows that the shorts so they have alternatives and for the time being at least the christian democrats do not have a viable option what are you thinking yeah i'm thinking it's boring but i'm thinking the same i think but i don't. know i do think we need fresh elections we. i mean if if the president from father steinmeyer if he said you know this is not a collapse this is
a breakdown that that semantics i don't see the difference between a collapse of the breakdowns me interpret saying what's the federal president ok but i just i just yesterday or the day before on sunday you told our newspaper that i was on talk that jamaica coalition should finally get their act together and finish the talks and come to them successfully no one listen to him so why should they listen to him now when mr has left the coalition so you know he can't go back he can go back and say oh i was wrong i'm very sorry i'm going to go. and and he certainly can't go back and say well look i thrown a temper tantrum now take me in but i want to get this that the other guys will say look you left you know and that's what comes to mind surely we're older if the if there are first elections we're all going to have to come back to this to make a scenario. because there are there are going to be six politics in the bundestag that's more than in the past but here you are more than likely going to need or there's a real probability going to need four of them to form
a coalition that's the situation we're already in so you're going to be in the same situation as you were before but with less trust and firstly we don't know that it's quite possible that certain immigrants if they get rid of mr schultz as their leader and that they could that they actually do gain votes because voters aren't rational if they were rational they would do as you said but they but they aren't so they might see themselves in a position to form a three way coalition with the ex-communist left wing party with the greens that was that's always been on the table as a possibility but they don't have a majority with you don't know what's going to happen after the next election they could be i mean if if that comes back with you know twelve thirteen fourteen percent he could start dictating terms from quite a different position you know this throw everything up in the end see what happens and i think that's the only only way out. well i think that's and many.
due to this very long period of debating it in like a coalition with greens and surf and christian democrats and liberals i think many germans are now some will. adapted to the idea that i'm like be a collision of the green party and the fish and democrats and i think that very many people in now after this long talk about john mica feel quite comfortable with this idea and it could be that if there was a new election people actively voted for as we call it black green fully agree that it's good. i think. a lot of people you have to would you have to understand it's quite simple a lot of people around on the amount are almost in their d.n.a. that they want a black green coalition for many many conservatives exactly even within the c.s. you you have that try to germans like to call the natural next government yeah that
could very well happen so what and the worst thing that could happen would be a minority government that would be extremely bad for germany it would be extremely bad for europe and for the rest of the world because a minority government would defend it government uncertainty and this is what europe cannot stand right now and therefore that would be the worst thing that could happen and i'm pretty sure it will not happen there's a real danger that we're going to leave. home out in the cold he's come out and he said we want to lead europe with germany in the town dim that we're so familiar to us until recent times he wants to take europe into a stronger and more ambitious future in germany is saying oh well we are trying to form a government and i don't i mean he came out even last night with that kind of
a statement he called that's what we hear even last night or during the night actually like oh no no no i like only on the morning actually and to make sure that she will not form a minority view. government because that would be very bad for france for his a bushman's concern in europe and. that would be the worst scenario that could happen and i don't think it will happen. i mean where champagne corks must be popping all morning is in moscow of course because the one thing that moscow wants is to have europe divided and incapable of acting and this is exactly what we have and we have been having. talks there on hold now as long as johnny doesn't have a have a government we've got this terrible division within europe between east and west between the visit grad states of eastern europe who are anti immigration anti neo liberalism and basically anti any sort of liberalism and with the western european
states we've got all these things that need resolving and they're and there's no leadership from germany and no leadership for maybe four or five months so this is i mean he must be saying how could i be so lucky i get trump in america now i've got no government in germany britain is basically a government on the whole it's all going according to plan it's not like we're going on that if i mean what does he have of perhaps you know europe is. trying to find itself but putin doesn't have any advantage from that you know the union is in disarray surely you know but i mean that's but yet that might be i don't really agree but anyway that doesn't help him only because you have all you can say is europe is in disarray he want he can pose you his destabilization program in ukraine for instance which make no mistake about it is designed to reintegrate europe yell transit is in the empire and there's no i'm going to america has been
the person who's stopped him from doing that but you know i think that whatever result the german elections would have had a could have had you know this ukraine problem but now. i have been attacked anyway by the europeans you know they are already resigned to the idea that it will go to russia we're running out of time and you're right so i'd like to ask ask each of you to tell me what the best case scenario is from this point in time. and i think fresh elections are unavoidable. and the outcome that you would view is the best case scenario than. my gut feeling tells me it will be black green for lucian it's my gut feeling and i will say i didn't come into the show feeling that that was germany's future maybe i'm beginning to be convinced by the prospect . i also think that we need fresh elections and i would actually quite welcome it
if. the free democrats could again a whole lot more votes and then form black yellow coalition of center right coalition. thus leaving a strong center left opposition of the greens and the reds what you might call back to the future yeah a little bit well i hope not back because that was khattab the last black yellow coalition was a catastrophe but there's a different prospect he could he could swing it over again well if this is not him then he would have races in government because as you said and it now wants to become very nationalistic maces even racist so i i do not think that's a yellow blanket government has turned nationalistic would be a very nice option. i don't think very often i do i don't think we can conclude conclude destro by calling a racist no i don't think this is taking it too far but you can still get any.
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they clog up more air miles than some pilots. i can't answer every man with us now again among. three german d.j. superstars can't get any more bombastic with the music didn't exist we had no idea what we wanted to hear and had to do it ourselves. between backstage rooms so discipline and a twenty four seven social media presence. superstar deejays starting november twenty fifth on d w. german chancellor angela merkel says she would rather face a new election than lead a minority government for party talks aimed at forming a new government collapsed late on.