tv Special Report With Bret Baier FOX News January 14, 2020 3:00pm-4:00pm PST
what do they call fries in great britain? chips. would you like some chips with that? >> jesse: a great british accent. >> dana: that is it for "the five." "special report" is up next. >> bret: good evening and welcome to washington, i am bret baier. democrats stage their final democratic debate before the iowa caucuses in about three hours before the two of the biggest progressives in the race ramp up the tax on each other. european allies put new pressure on iran as new video appears to show not one but two iranian missiles striking that doomed ukrainian passenger jet. and the house plans to vote tomorrow to send articles of impeachment against president trump to the senate. we have live team coverage at the state department with the triggering of what is called the dispute mechanism in the iran deal. peter doocy in des moines where some democratic candidates are taking off the gloves against each other and john roberts with how the president's team is
getting ready for the senate impeachment title. we agree with mike emanuel on capitol hill with where things stand at this hour. good evening. >> good evening. house committee chairs announced they have new evidence from rudy giuliani associate, including handwritten memo where he allegedly writes "get sba to announce that the biden case will be investigated." that will be transmitted to the senate along with the articles of impeachment. >> political warfare is underway in the upcoming senate impeachment trial even though nancy pelosi has not transmitted the articles. the minority leader says he will address the demand from democrats eventually. >> we will deal with the witness issue at the appropriate time, into the trial. i think it is certainly appropriate to point out that both sides would want to call witnesses that they wanted to hear from. >> democrats are trying to pressure moderate republicans to get on board with calling witnesses.
speak of the senate must conduct a fair trial. a fair trial has witnesses, a fair trial seeks the truth. >> some have signaled a willingness to consider it but not upfront. >> i want to make sure i have a chance to vote on whether we need additional witnesses or documents and i will decide whether we do after i hear the case and ask my questions. >> "the house will now proceed with a vote on transmitting the articles of impeachment and naming impeachment managers. those managers are the house lawmakers who will prosecute the case against the president. >> obviously people like adam schiff and jerry nadler are very great candidates because they have done such a magnificent job on the hearings themselves. but i do hope for a diversity of people. >> after arguing impeaching president trump was an emergency, nancy pelosi held on to the articles were nearly four weeks. republicans blasted the speaker
for wasting time. >> there were questions about why she held it. no one questioned about what she gained. >> the timeline is the trial is expected to start next tuesday. an opening argument laying out the case. the white house defense team has its opportunity, then questions from senators in writing will be taken up. after several weeks, the case will reach a critical phase. >> the debates will happen about whether or not to dismiss the case or to vote on final verdict. then whether to take up witnesses and i expect a contentious debate and decision. >> senator cruz and others say that the trial could go six weeks. that would be well beyond president trump's estate of the union and some of the other early voting states for senators running for president. >> bret: live on the hill, thank you. president trump has been quiet today so far. that silence will be shattered in about two hours when he speaks at what will likely be another boisterous campaign
event. this time in wisconsin. chief white house correspondent john roberts tells us tonight impeachment is on everyone's mind at the white house. >> it certainly is, no question about that. a little bit of an unusual day today. the president has held fire so far on impeachment. no tweet since just after midnight this morning. no public statements but as you pointed out, all of that likely to change in a big way tonight. >> as president trump heads for a campaign rally in wisconsin his defense team is making final preparations to present its case to the senate. white house counsel will take the lead, aided by two of his deputies, michael purpura and patrick philbin. the president's chief outside counsel will also join, and sources tell fox news there is still serious discussion about having harvard law professor alan dershowitz take a role. alan dershowitz has been harshly critical of how the democrats conducted their impeachment inquiry. white house aides dismissed democrats' a time to take on the
president. >> it has nothing to do with the rule of law by any stretch because the articles they came up with don't actually cite any crime. it is just to try to smear this president because they know they can't beat him at the ballot box. >> impeachment will certainly factor prominently in president trump's campaign event. south carolina senator lindsey graham spoke with the president last night and gained some insight into his state of mind. >> it is frustrating to think he did anything wrong but i told him, there is a process. he will come out of this politically stronger. i hate you have to go through it but i feel confident he will be acquitted in the end. >> president trump is openly promoting the idea of taking a vote to dismiss the case, fearing that appearing with the trial will give legitimacy to the democrat case. but ted cruz said today acquittal is better for the president then dismissal and that the trial should play out to what ted cruz is certain will be a not guilty verdict. >> dismissal throws out the
opportunity to reach a verdict. if that is a much better outcome for the president, to be acquitted of the charges than simply a dismissal. >> at the new year's eve party and mar-a-lago, rudy giuliani insisted he would like to be a part of the senate trial. >> i would testify, i would do demonstrations, i would give lectures, summations. or, i would do what i do best, i would try the case. i would love to try the case. >> while rudy giuliani is not expected to join the president's team, he will be a frequent face commenting on impeachment. if the articles are handed over to the senate and the next couple days it is possible the trial will be getting underway as the president touches down in switzerland, where he is scheduled to give a speech at 11:30 on tuesday. so far, the white house says there is no discussion of him canceling his switzerland trip. in fact, some aides are lobbying for him to go, saying it would send a signal that he is
overseas doing the work of the nation while democrats are trying to take him out him out. >> bret: john roberts live on the north lawn, thank you. steve minasian will be on the show tomorrow from the white house. and tonight's democracy 2020 report, it is debate night for a democratic presidential contenders. 6 of 12 remaining candidates will be on stage tonight in des moines, but two of them are already debating. correspondent peter doocy has the he said, she said from iowa. >> candidates know there's not much time left to make their cases before the caucuses. >> people are beginning to make up their minds now and this is a critical moment. >> but a private moment in 2018 may change the dynamics. bernie sanders and elizabeth warren dined together and among the topics that came up, what would happen if democrats nominated a female candidate? i thought a woman could win, he disagreed. sanders says that is ludicrous, adding that it is sad that three weeks before the iowa caucus and three years after that private
conversation, staff who weren't in the room are lying about what happened. in june, sanders and sized up his longtime friend's campaign. >> what is the reason that elizabeth warren is catching up to you in paul's? >> i think there are a certain number of people who would like to see a woman elected and i understand that. >> that i am sure. >> pete buttigieg is hoping and openly gay president can help the campaign. >> this began as an exploratory committee, nobody could say my name. didn't have any personal wealth or giant email list. just the belief that america would respond, that iowa would respond, and you have. >> cory booker called it quits but he will stay busy. >> i will take a breather, i will focus on the impeachment trials and i have a reelection campaign. if got to get started on securing another six years in the senate. >> those impeachment trials will
keep them off the trails. republicans don't think that is fair. >> joe biden will make the pledge not to campaign, but bernie sanders cannot after what the democrat national committee had done to his campaign a few short years ago. >> but there is no sign joe biden will take a breather before the caucuses. >> this is a real toss-up in the last couple weeks here it makes a gigantic difference. >> michael bloomberg is not here but democrats watching at home may see as much of him as some of the candidates on stage because he started running today a brand-new ad about the debates where he explained he is not ever going to try to go to a democratic debate unless the rules are changed and he can qualify without having to ask for donations. >> bret: peter doocy live in des moines, iowa. complete coverage after the debate on fox at 11:00 p.m. it is a new video tonight showing what appears to be two
missiles hitting the ukrainian airliner shot down in iran last week. the regime has admitted to bringing down the plane by mistake. meanwhile officials in france and germany say they want to resolve differences with iran over its nuclear deal with diplomacy. great britain's leader says he has an idea to step up the pressure. state department correspondent has details. >> if the iran nuclear agreement collapses, boris johnson has a solution. >> if were going to get rid of it, let's replace it and let's replace it with the trump deal. >> the trump a administration wants to address iran's nuclear and ballistic missile program and support of militias across the region as part of a new deal. speak of the problem is, from the american perspective, it iss negotiated by president obama. >> now the british, french, and german have served with an official notice, complying with the 2015 nuclear agreement that
triggers a process that could result in the u.n. security council voting to restore the sanctions on iran it lifted as part of the deal. the move comes in response to iran announcing it would no longer abide by any limitations laid out in the agreement. after the u.s. air strike that killed soleimani. iran had already begun violating limits in the iran nuclear agreement last year, year after the trump administration left it. iran's foreign ministry reportedly warned of a serious and strong response to efforts to levy sanctions. they say it is ready to answer constructive effort to save the deal. this as new video has surfaced showing iran shooting down a ukrainian passenger plane last week and appears to show one missile hitting the plane and a second connecting. iranian authorities say they have arrested those responsible for the incident. >> this is something that happens when you have conflict and war. innocent, they are the brunt of
it and it is a reminder of why all of us have to work so hard on de-escalation. >> eliot engel says he is demanding mark esper provide information on the legal basis for the strike that killed soleimani. elite engel says if pompeo refuses to work with his committee that he is going to perhaps, possibly issue a subpoena for the secretary. the state department has no comment. >> bret: rich jackson live at the state department. senate democrats want to investigate whether trump enabled a violation of insider trading laws when he allegedly hinted about the attack on iran's top general to some guests at his florida resort. senators elizabeth warren and chris van hollen, democrats, are asking an agency to initiate investigations. they say individuals could have obtained confidential, market-moving information and made trays based upon that.
the three major stock exchanges hit record highs today but dropped after a report said tariffs on china will likely remain until after the 2020 election. the dow ended up the day 33. the s&p 500 dropped 5. the nasdaq lost 23. russian hackers, possibly trying to dig up dirt on joe biden and his family, have penetrated the ukrainian gas company featured prominently in the impeachment drama. correspondent gillian turner is here to tell us what that may mean. >> good evening. this american cybersecurity firm now claiming russia's military hacked the ukrainian gas company that is at the very center of the impeachment inquiry. attempts on marie's mama, ones included hunter biden, began back in early november. the firm discovered the hack during the course of ordinary business and were immediately alarmed, saying that the timing of the campaign in the 2020
election raises the specter that this is an early warning of what we have anticipated since that successful cyber attack taken during the 2016 u.s. election. the associated press reports the bidens were likely target of this campaign. he says the company cannot support the claim of the time. the biden campaign responded today, saying donald trump tried to coerce ukraine into lying about joe biden in a major, partisan international anticorruption victory because he recognized that he can't beat the vice president. democrats have been quick to blame president trump today. >> it is russia doing president trump's dirty work again. >> vladimir putin appears to be at it again, manufacturing evidence to interfere in our election in 2020 to help his buddy, donald trump, again be artificially placed at 1600
pennsylvania avenue. >> republicans say this hack is just another in a long continu continuum. >> we need to keep our eye on the russians or anybody else who is trying to mess with our election system. >> i don't think they have ever stopped. this is their m.o., it has been since the '60s. >> american election officials at home continue to ring alarm bell about election interference going into 2020, not just from russia but also from china, iran, other state actors. we reached out today to marie's mom but unsurprisingly, no no response yet. >> bret: thank you. significant action on two major fronts for the president's immigration policy. first, here is what some fox affiliates are covering tonight. the equal rights amendment advances in the virginia legislature. the virginia house committee approved the legislation to ratify the gender equality measure. the measure would guarantee equal legal rights for all
american citizens, regardless of sex. if it passes, they will be the 38th state to ratify the amendment, surpassing the number of states needing it to ratify. 1982 deadline for ratification has long since passed. fox 35 in orlando says the census bureau spends tens of millions of dollars on hundreds of digital ads, tv commercials, billboards and print ads in 13 languages. the goal is to make sure every household response to the 20/20 census. census bureau officials say they expect the media campaign to reach 99.9% of households. this is a live look at los angeles from our affiliate fox 11 there. the big story there tonight, fuel dumped by an aircraft returned to l.a. international airport fell onto three schools. officials say 40 children and adults experienced minor irritation. none needed to be taken to hospital.
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mexico has already ratified the u.s. nca. canada has not passed it yet. the agreement does not take effect until all three countries approve it. the u.s. supreme court ordered the convictions of two people involved in the bridge gate scandal in 2013 when aids to governor chris christie created a traffic jam allegedly to to to punish a mirror. they were convicted of fraud and conspiracy. they are challenging the convictions, saying while their actions were political, they were not fraud. american airlines says it has taken the boeing 737 max out of its schedule for two more months until early june. that means america will cancel nearly 20,000 flights in the first five plus months of this year. the plan has been grounded since two crashes killed 346 people. major progress reports tonight for president trump's immigration policy. significant moves are being made
in dealing with immigrants seeking sanctuary and in building the president border wall. national correspondent has our update tonight. >> translator: they want to send us to a country where they are also fleeing violence. it's not fair. >> with mortar apprehensions down , 70%, the administration isn'tg asylum-seekers to mexico but also south america. >> we have returned 96 individuals under that plan. >> secretary of state will return from central america where he finalized agreements with officials there to accept asylum-seekers including mexicans. >> translator: it hit us like a bomb. i don't think any mexicans want to go to guatemala. >> asylum-seekers say u.s. law protects them from being deported to unsafe areas. >> critics will say we are putting women and children in these border cities for a month at a time is illegal. >> i don't understand that.
it's exactly what we do inside the interior of the u.s. we often have folks trouble four or five hours in the u.s. to go to different states. >> they've also begun flying to other countries to deter reentry. >> in the fifth circuit court of appeals we won the big, big, beautiful lawsuit. you cannot fund the rest of the law. >> the administration is reportedly planning to again divert billions from the pentagon budget to almost double. the 450 miles of wall it claims will be finished this year. >> this is another example of donald trump trying to fulfill a political promise that has nothing to do with the safety and security of the american people. >> congress appropriated roughly $700 billion to the pentagon this year. the administration is considering using $7 billion for the wall. it is unclear what programs could be postponed or killed because of it.
>> bret: thanks. up next, president trump is heading to milwaukee for a campaign event. we told you that earlier. tonight, democrats insist they will not make the same mistake in wisconsin. this year that cost him the election in 2016. first, beyond our borders tonight, a volcano near manila continues to shake and spew lava into the sky. tens of thousands of people fleeing villages darkened and blanketed by heavy ash. government work has been suspended, schools closed in a number of towns and cities there. hundreds of flights have been canceled or delayed, affecting thousands of passengers. severe winter weather has claimed more lives as and avalanche killed 55 people. 15 people died in neighboring afghanistan. the latest fatalities raised the overall death toll from severe weather to 126 since sunday.
a bus plunged into a sinkhole on a city street in northwestern china today. at least six people were killed there. officials say four others are still missing. 1,000 emergency workers and 30 vehicles were sent to that site. a crane was called to lift the bus above the sink hole so rescue workers could look for victims. just some of the other stories from beyond our borders tonight. we will be right back. >> man: what's my safelite story? my truck...is my livelihood. so when my windshield cracked... the experts at safelite autoglass came right to me.
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>> bret: while democratic presidential candidates debate tonight in iowa, president trump will have a campaign rally in milwaukee. wisconsin is once again a major battleground state in this year's election. democrats, who lost both the state and the presidency in 2016, insist they have learned their lesson. senior correspondent mike tobin has the story from milwaukee. >> wisconsin farmers cannot say they are better off now than they were four years ago. since 2016, more than 1600 farms have shut down. >> it is sad to see, you know. >> still, this farmer still supports trump. he blames congress for holding up the trade deals and believes the president is committed to people like him. >> i think he is really genuine, he just really shows he cares about all the businesses top to bottom, large and small. >> hillary clinton failed the campaign of wisconsin and the 2016 general election and ten electoral votes went to trump,
evidence that democrats won't make the same mistake again, their convention will be held in milwaukee. >> i believe wisconsin will be the state that elects the president of the united states. it was key last time, it is key this time. >> a few models that show milwaukee and madison are dedicated liberal and unlikely to change but trump reached voters in 23 rural wisconsin counties who had voted for obama twice and then flipped republican in 2016. >> people who are forgotten men and women in northern wisconsin. >> the future belongs to the people. >> they are all about to get the experience of voters in battleground states. no matter how far they live up a farm road, wisconsin voters will get knocks on the door. >> personal contacts, people talking to their neighbors, to their friends, volunteers right
now in every corner of the state are going out, weekend by weekend and having individual, personal conversations with people about the issues they care about. that is something that wasn't happening this early in 2016. >> to set the scene behind me, the pfizer forum where democrats will be holding their convention. to their left is panther arena where president trump is holding his rally tonight. further we have a small group of anti-trump demonstrators. a larger group is expected. and a long line of trump supporters screaming into the arena. wisconsin voters can get used to this much attention and action as they are expected to play a pivotal role in the general. back to you. >> bret: mike tobin live in milwaukee. thanks. in the meantime, wisconsin appeals court has put on hold in order to immediate remove up to 209,000 names from the voter registration rules. it is considered a political win for democrats, who had fought that move. we will follow that. if you use windows on your
computer, and most of us do, we have important news. microsoft is issuing a patch to fix a flaw it found out about thanks to the national security agency. the nsa notified the company, some computers will get the update automatically if they have the option turned on. microsoft says it has not seen any evidence yet hackers have used the technique discovered by the nsa. the justice department is pressuring apple to help it unlock the cell phones of the gunman who killed three people at a florida naval base last month. the attorney general saying so far apple has not come through. apple disagrees. here's correspondent david's bond. >> apple has not given any substantive assistance. >> attorney general bill barr calling out the tech giant for not helping investigators unlock two iphones owned by the man who, in an act of terror, shot and killed three sailors at naval air station pensacola last month. authorities say the shooter took
a gun and shot one of those iphones, hoping to destroy evidence. fbi forensics but the phones back together but cannot open them without a password. >> it is critical that the public be able to get access to digital evidence. >> doj has a court order and says while apple has provided cloud services to the shooter's account, encryption technology blocks it direct access to the phone. apple is firing back, "we reject the characterization that apple has not provided substantive assistance in the pensacola investigation. our responses to their many requests since the attack have been timely, thorough, and are ongoing." in 2015, doj and apple faced off in a similar battle over the san bernardino shooter.. a third party vendor opened the phone after apple refused. in response, apple then upped its encryption security procedures. apple has a new ad campaign touting its strong protection. >> tim cook has said privacy should be considered a human
right. apple is really holding strong to its principles. >> one doj official tells fox it is unclear if apple can even these phones. the company is not commenting on that allegation. >> bret: david, thanks for the latest on impeachment and 15. we will discuss at all with the panel when we come back. knowing we're prepared for tomorrow. wow, do you think you overdid it maybe? overdid what? well planned, well invested, well protected. voya. be confident to and through retirement.
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documents is not a real trial, it is a sham trial. >> it is just to try to smear this president because they know they can't beat him at the ballot box. >> bret: the articles of impeachment will be voted on tomorrow when the house, sent over to the senate, describing the trial of what happens there will take place and whether there are witnesses or not. in the meantime, breaking news tonight about mike emanuel, the house intelligence committee releasing documents from indicted rudy giuliani associate lev parnas. several documents, a letter from rudy giuliani and the president of ukraine and the first document is on a ritz-carlton notepad and it says "get zelensky to announce the biden case will be investigated" in handwriting. how this affects things as it heads over to the senate we shall see. steve hilton is the host of "the next revolution" on the fox news channel. an founding editor of "the washington free beacon."
it seems like the house intel committee is going through all of these documents from lev parnas and coming out with what is relevant as it heads over to the senate. >> it doesn't sound like the things they release to tell us anything we didn't already know. rudy giuliani said on television that he was going overseas to see if he could help his client, the president, looking into joe biden and joe biden's son and bre' burisma so we will seef there's anything in those documents that will change a senator's mind. >> bret: how does this look like it is going to play out? i think there are still some question marks about what this all means. speak of the public are probably giving a national, massive collective eye roll right now to say really, we are going to go over this again? the parade of random ukrainians and bureaucrats i have never heard of and diplomats enjoying
their moment in the spotlight. the public really do see this as a waste of time. however, if it is going to be done, and we now know that it is, then it does need to be done properly and i think it is in the republicans interest to minimize the extent to which the democrats can plausibly claim that it is unfair. they are going to say that, whatever they do, but really, if they do actually put it in place that reasonable people would conclude its affair. that is the way they should go. >> bret: a big talking voice and the hout about what is there, but you look in the senate, g.o.p. senators to watch, a number of them, cory gardner's up for reelection, colorado, lamar alexander, retired from tennessee, who talked about, indicated that witnesses may be a possibility. but it looks like it would be one for one. if you get a democratic witness, you get a republican witness. speak of the process lot in the
house but substance does too. if you look at some of the speeches like critical republicans who voted against the articles, they say what trump did did not amount to and impeachable offense. you will find some similar arguments to the senators you just showed on the screen. what strikes me is how unserious nancy pelosi has been. the trial will start a month after the vote to impeach donald trump. if it was really as urgent as they were telling us for months they would've gotten this process underway immediately. they didn't because they were waiting for some bombshell. what broke tonight was not it. instead it has blown up in nancy pelosi's face. >> bret: pelosi would argue that john bolton, if the subpoena happened, some other documents unredacted from the pentagon came forward, she tries to pitch it as a win. >> i think the democrats say they got a couple things out of this delay. some new documents about the
budget, now they have these notes, they also have john bolton coming forward, as you said, but they wanted to make the point that the president held back all these witnesses, wouldn't let them testify. that is why they have to testify in the senate and she wanted to at least create the impression that mitch mcconnell was not going to have a fair trial. maybe they did that. the outcome is still a foregone conclusion and that is why americans, i think, say we already know how this is going to turn out. can we still get back to things we care about? >> bret: without the other shoe, there's no 20 republicans to convict. i want to turn to iran. a quinnipiac poll out this week says the u.s. strike killing soleimani, right action, wrong action, 45% right action. asked if it makes americans safer, you see that breakdown. more safe, less safe, no impact. for somebody sitting at home, are they buying this immanence argument? the terrorist attacks that were
coming and whether that matters in that calculation? >> i thought i detected in the welcome that president trump seeped last night at the game, there was a kind of exuberance to that that i think reflected on the part of his supporters, real pride in how he handled this. this is another poll that reflexive very divided country and your opinion of president trump colors your opinion of this but i think it has been a very, very successful episode for him. >> bret: this does cross lines when it comes to the issue of war, notifying congress, why to go forward with something. >> sure, it crosses lines, but the extra opinion has consistently been wrong throughout this episode. >> bret: a lot of episodes, actually. >> we heard removing ourselves from the iran deal would isolate us diplomatically. now the e.u. is triggering the dispute mechanism, they are isolating iran. we heard that killing soleimani would unleash world war iii.
what happened? iran de-escalate it with an attack on the two bases. we've heard all of these stories from the experts. we heard that killing soleimani would rally the uranian people with their government. instead, they are marching on the streets and calling him a tyrant. all these myths that have been propagated have been exposed as false. >> bret: we don't know what we don't know what the militias in the hezbollah groups but so far, if you look back at the decision up until now, president trump has politically won. politically won but the question is, will he take advantage of all the good things you just laid out? now that he has iran the economy on its heels, the europeans putting pressure on them, all of that, does he think this is a great thing? he killed a bad guy, got the benefits, or is he going to try to come up with some new diplomatic effort? >> europe is not easy to rally on anything, let alone this. >> and it is finally good news
from europe because they have been trying to keep this deal alive for so long and it is driven by pretty unsavory factors, like the commercial interest of many big companies that have close ties to those european governments. for example, in france. one of the main drivers is an interest in porsche, the carmaker. it is all a bit swampy, frankly, the european attitude to this and it is great to see that finally they are realizing president trump meant it, not the way it is going to go forward. boris johnson today calling for a new deal, a trump deal, smart of him to put it like that, i thought. we will see where it goes. >> bret: next up, debate in iowa, some candidates not waiting to fight each other. ♪ robin hood and little john runnin' through the forest ♪ ♪ laughin' back and forth at what the other'ne has to say ♪ there's a booking for every resolution. book yours at booking.com it'scan it helphe january sale keep me asleep?mber 360 smart bed. there's a booking for every resolution.
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♪ >> what do you think the reason is that elizabeth warren is catching up to you in polls? >> i think there are certain number of people who want to see a woman elected, and i understand that. >> anyone who wants to say a woman can't win, it makes no sense. the clinton won 3 million more votes than donald trump did in the last election where there are some wires crossed but clearly bernie sanders did not say a woman could not win. those conversations can get misconstrued. >> bret: battles back and forth but this one is about whether bernie sanders set a
woman could win the presidency. elizabeth warren putting out a statement, bernie and i met for more than two hours and 2018 to discuss the 2020 election. among the topics that came up was what would happen if democrats nominated a female candidate. i thought a woman could win, he disagreed. that is from elizabeth warren and her campaign ahead of a debate. we are back with the panel. matthew, here are some democrats. this is the last thing they want to see. >> does a very revealing moment. of all the things elizabeth warren could have criticized bernie sanders for, being more extreme on policy than she is. being less unelectable than she is, she goes to the sexism card. she plays identity politics. it shows you how identity politics trumps policy and the democratic party today and it also says that sanders and warren are in this existential conflict. neither can win without taking the base of the other and the person this ultimately benefits is of course joe biden. >> bret: we'll see. take a look at the debate stage
tonight. smaller in iowa as they are fighting for attention. possible opening for amy klobuchar if there is a battle between the top three in the polls. >> our experience with these multi-candidate races when two candidates get into a food fight is usually a third candidate benefits. that is what has happened for the democrats in the past. but i think the big question for me is not just how warren is going to handle this. don't forget she was responding to the scripted that the sanders campaign gave to their volunteer callers to say elizabeth warren is an elitist, she is not going to be able to expand the base of the party but what i am watching is bernie sanders is now a front runner. is he going to get the kind of scrutiny that front runners usually get or is he going to be given a pass because mike sanders is remarkably untouched by scrutiny because democrats don't think he can be the nominee and i think that is changing. >> bret: you see that but if
you look at the rcp average, national, iowa, and new hampshire, joe biden has come back up in both iowa and new hampshire, where he was, at times, running for us. he has made a resurgence perhaps because of this fear of sanders, warren, et cetera. >> he has. despite what the conventional wisdom is, i think he is a fundamentally weak candidate. he doesn't excite people. i think he is going to do less well in iowa because they really need to get people excited about you to turn out. i think he just doesn't bring that kind of energy that you need to really drive an election result in your favor in these times. i think any of the others are actually stronger against president trump then he is. >> bret: this is a staggering number. the spending on ads. michael bloomberg, $130 million. one estimate. some put him over $150 million. tom steyer at a $70 million.
there is a thought that michael bloomberg is kind of suggesting that they could win a lot early steaks, but in the end i'm going to pull this out in the end. >> the primary strategy for bloomberg is if we get some states, somebody wins each one, or they are all bunched up, then you get to super tuesday with all these giant states where money really matters and there is michael bloomberg with his big fat wallet, ready to move and fear that is one theory. the other theory is he is going to spend this kind of money, billions of dollars and no matter who is the nominee, even if he is not, he is determined to beat donald trump and that would be a huge factor. >> bret: in one new york mayor race he spent $170 per voter. if that is the same equation, $12 billion. that is not even in the calendar. >> money can buy you all numbers but i can't buy you elections. that is what donald trump proved when he was outspent and most of
his donations came from small dollar donors, instead of big dollar donors who were against him and he still won. >> bret: andrew yang is not on the stage tonight. he tweeted, "thank you, dave chapelle. welcome to the gang gang." the comedian campaigning for andrew yang. thanks, panel. when we come back i'm an army soldier surprises his loved ones. oh, hi, samantha. you look more like a heather. do you ever get that? it's nice to finally meet you in person. you're pete nocchio? oh, the pic? that was actually a professional headshot. i'm sure that's it, yeah. i, uh, i think i've lost a few pounds recently too. i'm actually doing a juice cleanse. wait! you don't... (glass breaking) (gasp) ah! oh...! with geico, the savings keep on going. just like this sequel. 15 minutes could save you 15% or more on car insurance.
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one fell swoop at school, that is great. thanks for inviting us into your home tonight. the story hosted by martha maccallum starts right now. >> martha: good evening, everybody. and breaking tonight, brand-new video of the horrifying moment in iranian missiles struck ukrainian airline near tehran, killing 176 people. that crashed just six days ago is one piece of a major turn of events that tonight appears to be nudging some of our allies reluctantly in some cases a little bit closer to the president's view on iran. >> the united states will withdraw from the iran nuclear deal. following that withdrawal, we have implemented severe economic sanctions on the country. the time has come