this is fantasyland. the challenge is, if you aren't donald trump, the challenge is to find a way to beat him consistently. they've not been able to do that. >> you can't disenfranchise your base. >> when you turn out new voters and a lot of enthusiasm about -- >> the customer is always right. >> the people at the convention for trump aren't the same ones for him, but the point still stands. nia, gloria, john, appreciate it. >>> if that's fantasyland then what we have tonight is an all-important reality. what happens on the gop debate stage is going to make a big deal going on. the factors that go into it, we're going to talk about as well. this man, the former president of mexico, has just weighed in in a big way. and used language that even donald trump doesn't like. does a freshly printed presentation fill you with optimism? then you might be gearcentric. ♪ right now, get 25% back in rewards on hp ink, toner, and paper! office depot officemax. gear up for great ®. a 401(k) is the most sound way to g

this was fantasyland. i would like to get off that subject of the everybody brings it up. >> reporter: as he spends his third day stumping across florida -- >> in florida the number of people at the voting booths are massi massive, the biggest they've ever seen. and a lot of them wearing trump buttons and hats and shirts. so i assume they're voting for us, right? >> reporter: trump's electoral challenges growing more pronounced. a new monmouth university poll in arizona, a state that hasn't voted for a democrat since bill clinton in 1996, shows hillary clinton nipping at trump's heels, drawing 45% support to trump's 46%. now, on the trail today hillary clinton steered clear of the health care issues to problems with obamacare. she did a radio interview where she pointed to the millions of people who are now insured who were not before obamacare. >>> sara murray reporting. >>> jim acosta is in sanford, florida, where donald trump just held a rally. jim, what's trump's main line of attack today? >> reporter:

view, the fed kind of ,stablished this fantasyland but a credible fantasyland in which, for 30 quarters in a row, they've been saying next year conditions will be really strong and we are going to raise. and then the data comes in and it is not that strong. and they say, well, we won't raise yet. we will wait until next quarter with the forecast says we will be great and we will raise. now we are back on that cycle. david: you advise the new york fed. in a way, the new york fed has been better than the board offeds are the governors. i think it is because -- the fed is not alone in this. i think it is mostly the forecasting models are fundamentally about reversion to we predict the future will look like the past saying ind they are the model implicitly, when house prices go up, the data from the 2000s tells us that people spend housing starts will skyrocket and the economy will come booming back. 2006 is thepened in thing that is abnormal, not now being the thing that is abnormal. david: if you are running a company and you had a model that was running the norm -- the wrong numbers, wou

and it is part of the appeasement, appeasing vladimir putin, you name it, he has a foreign policy and fantasyland. >> he criticizes donald trump for his limited role in the global stage which is fine, but he didn't have any foreign-policy credentials when he was elected. when he was a first-term senator, it betrays the notion he thinks being liked is the most important thing, it is not the most important thing. being liked by other countries -- i did not say that. >> i thought that was where it was going. >> it is critical, it is paramount to him, to have someone else in complete contrast which is what donald trump is, a reaction to this president. arthel: i want world leaders to underestimate donald trump. >> i want vladimir putin to hang out with donald trump. you could get some good stuff out of it. >> donald trump castigated our closest allies, pretty deep with vladimir putin who is anathema to everything we stand for and said we should sit down with the head of north korea. >> i want trump to be the guy, the only one who could possibly do it. hillary clinton is stuck in the old way. traditio